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07/14/2023
Eliciting Informative Priors by Modelling Expert Decision Making
This article introduces a new method for eliciting prior distributions f...
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12/14/2021
Methods for Eliciting Informative Prior Distributions
Eliciting informative prior distributions for Bayesian inference can oft...
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06/14/2020
Considerations for developing predictive models of crime and new methods for measuring their accuracy
Developing spatio-temporal crime prediction models, and to a lesser exte...
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04/02/2020
Duality between Approximate Bayesian Methods and Prior Robustness
In this paper we show that there is a link between approximate Bayesian ...
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11/22/2019
Insider threat modeling: An adversarial risk analysis approach
Insider threats entail major security issues in geopolitics, cyber risk ...
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11/22/2019
A Novel Method of Marginalisation using Low Discrepancy Sequences for Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations
Recently, it has been shown that approximations to marginal posterior di...
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11/22/2019
Adversarial Risk Analysis for First-Price Sealed-Bid Auctions
Adversarial Risk Analysis (ARA) is an upcoming methodology that is consi...
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11/08/2019
